Rising Treasury yields anticipate Federal Reserve's policy decision

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2023-09-19 14:23:30  • 1 min

Treasury yields have started to rise as traders anticipate a lasting increase in rates. This surge is driven by a series of strong data released last week. The 2-year yield, which is particularly sensitive to policy changes, briefly touched 5.101% during Tuesday's morning trading before slightly retreating to 5.088%. If this trend persists, it is expected to reach its highest level since July 25, 2006, at 3 p.m. Eastern time. On that date, the yield closed at 5.114%.

Simultaneously, the 10-year rate also saw an increase as it rose by 2.3 basis points to 4.341%. This signifies its highest anticipated closing level since November 6, 2007.

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The implications stretch far beyond markets to the rates paid on mortgages, student loans, and credit cards, and to the growth of the global economy itself.
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